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Call to arms mod maps not working8/3/2023 If the drone attack had not been internally staged it would have been a surprise event. The Kremlin immediately accused Ukraine of conducting a terror attack, and Russian official responses coalesced rapidly around this accusation. The Kremlin’s immediate, coherent, and coordinated response to the incident suggests that the attack was internally prepared in such a way that its intended political effects outweigh its embarrassment. A strike that avoided detection and destruction by such air defense assets and succeeded in hitting as high-profile of a target as the Kremlin Senate Palace would be a significant embarrassment for Russia. Geolocated imagery from January 2023 shows that Russian authorities have been placing Pantsir air defense systems near Moscow to create air defense circles around the city. Russian authorities have recently taken steps to increase Russian domestic air defense capabilities, including within Moscow itself, and it is therefore extremely unlikely that two drones could have penetrated multiple layers of air defense and detonated or been shot down just over the heart of the Kremlin in a way that provided spectacular imagery caught nicely on camera. Several indicators suggest that the strike was internally conducted and purposefully staged. Russia likely staged this attack in an attempt to bring the war home to a Russian domestic audience and set conditions for a wider societal mobilization. Ukrainian officials, including Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, stressed that Ukraine did not conduct the attack. The Kremlin accused Ukraine of orchestrating “a planned terrorist attack” with the intent of assassinating Russian President Vladimir Putin and clarified that Putin was not at the Kremlin at the time of the attack and was therefore unharmed. Social media footage circulated on May 3 shows a drone detonating near a flagpole on top of the Kremlin Senate Palace building in Moscow as two unidentified people climbed up the dome of the building. Russia accused Ukraine of conducting a drone strike against the Kremlin on May 3. ISW will update this time-lapse map archive monthly. These maps complement the static control-of-terrain map that ISW produces daily by showing a dynamic frontline. This map is updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report.Ĭlick here to access ISW’s archive of interactive time-lapse maps of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. KaganĬlick here to see ISW’s interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Karolina Hird, Grace Mappes, Nicole Wolkov, Layne Philipson, and Frederick W. Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 3, 2023
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